Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.068035 2.394063 2.752487 3.175459 3.660674 4.199605 4.843345
2025-03-02 1.507314 1.905658 2.381184 2.989614 3.746381 4.655639 5.830088
2025-03-09 1.203760 1.644325 2.209554 2.985510 4.020615 5.351247 7.188976
2025-03-16 0.954580 1.398808 2.007117 2.896864 4.160531 5.885768 8.414278
2025-03-23 0.841472 1.312939 1.997146 3.055817 4.644965 6.932458 10.464000
2025-03-30 0.736319 1.217272 1.953485 3.152819 5.046258 7.905841 12.533294
2025-04-06 0.632477 1.103720 1.861869 3.157503 5.300785 8.684308 14.401751
2025-04-13 0.517828 0.951740 1.683834 2.993340 5.257798 8.985604 15.547288
2025-04-20 0.468204 0.901855 1.665589 3.088927 5.650058 10.027131 18.017153
2025-04-27 0.434973 0.875325 1.682465 3.245122 6.162331 11.323227 21.064961
2025-05-04 0.395058 0.829283 1.656394 3.317391 6.529361 12.402286 23.847480
2025-05-11 0.356070 0.778455 1.613292 3.349641 6.822296 13.374685 26.537540
2025-05-18 0.307451 0.701627 1.511609 3.259478 6.880647 13.941394 28.581438
2025-05-25 0.259927 0.618987 1.385796 3.101849 6.782809 14.195569 30.049858
2025-06-01 0.234023 0.579858 1.345357 3.117295 7.042243 15.185185 33.105781
2025-06-08 0.204227 0.526553 1.266017 3.036296 7.084923 15.736249 35.321896
2025-06-15 0.195749 0.522949 1.297954 3.209756 7.707896 17.574568 40.477340
2025-06-22 0.183501 0.507849 1.300821 3.315840 8.191577 19.165847 45.274200
2025-06-29 0.166806 0.478370 1.264739 3.323366 8.446380 20.278137 49.125960
2025-07-06 0.142915 0.425375 1.162356 3.152370 8.250974 20.344694 50.588985
2025-07-13 0.134918 0.414906 1.167027 3.253741 8.737838 22.051960 56.091727
2025-07-20 0.130261 0.413200 1.194510 3.418507 9.405411 24.262106 63.042965
2025-07-27 0.122228 0.400132 1.189319 3.494829 9.853583 25.985578 68.985823